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The Political Pulse
Latest opinion research and analysis from Mark Gettleson
Monday 26th September 2011 | 14:16
Political Insiders: 65% think Ed won’t outlast election
The first PoliticsHome Political Insiders poll of Labour conference saw questions around Ed Miliband’s leadership as the most likely area of controversy at the conference (36% seeing it as such). This was closely followed by ‘trade union activity’ ahead of November’s proposed strikes, while disagreements over policy or discussions over parliamentary boundaries were seen as comparatively insignificant, highlighted by 15% and 5% of respondents respectively.
Over half of respondents saw Labour’s opposition to the government’s deficit reduction programme as damaging to their party brand, with 23% seeing it as ‘very damaging’ to their reputation for financial competence. Fewer than one in ten saw it as ‘very helpful’, suggesting that Ed Balls has been right to say the party won’t reverse all of the Coalition’s cuts.
Or insiders were split on how long Ed Miliband would last as Labour leader, with 28% saying he would depart in 2015, 30% believing he will last beyond election year, while 37% think his leadership will end before the election. Nearly two thirds of political insiders believing Mr Miliband will not outlast the election seems a fairly poor prognosis for his general election prospects.
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